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Red309
6519132.2
4486146.6
5875105.8
Blue458
1160146.9
1388140.5
3009146.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299332150200250350400450500309458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#25
146.60.3
147.9148.2
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
blue by 0.3
1160
#18
146.91.1
143.0144.1
Auto19.9
Teleop104.8
End23.6
Second
6519
#26
132.24.3
122.0126.3
Auto17.5
Teleop94.9
End17.9
blue by 14.7
146.81.9
137.4139.3
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Third
5875
#37
105.80.9
111.4110.6
Auto16.7
Teleop82.2
End10.8
blue by 34.8
1388
#10
140.50.1
131.1131.0
Auto15.8
Teleop106.7
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed