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Red311
987178.9
585101.1
2659174.5
Blue379
5851118.8
3021136.3
842198.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33735305001,0001,5002,000311379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#6
178.92.1
173.3175.3
Auto23.5
Teleop129.2
End26.0
blue by 19.6
842
#3
198.61.3
192.8194.2
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
Second
2659
#16
174.50.2
175.2175.0
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
red by 38.2
3021
#12
136.31.0
132.8133.8
Auto15.5
Teleop103.9
End17.6
Third
585
#38
101.10.7
99.9100.6
Auto16.9
Teleop83.6
End3.3
blue by 17.7
5851
#20
118.81.2
116.4117.6
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed