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Red507
2710148.9
5285159.3
988128.6
Blue206
3009146.8
6824126.3
6957109.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612500100200300400500600507206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.32.4
152.1154.5
Auto22.1
Teleop119.4
End19.0
red by 12.4
146.81.8
141.7143.5
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Second
148.92.6
137.2139.8
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
red by 22.6
6824
#13
126.32.3
120.2122.4
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
Third
988
#24
128.60.7
124.5125.2
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End15.1
red by 19.2
6957
#32
109.41.4
105.6107.0
Auto15.2
Teleop81.5
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed