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Red449
5012138.9
4486146.6
687166.9
Blue204
5285159.3
3011118.9
4149.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328329250300350400450449204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#7
166.91.5
160.2161.7
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
red by 7.6
159.32.7
154.5157.2
Auto22.1
Teleop119.4
End19.0
Second
4486
#25
146.61.4
147.8146.4
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
blue by 2.9
4
#19
149.52.5
144.7147.1
Auto18.9
Teleop114.6
End16.6
Third
5012
#21
138.90.0
136.2136.2
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3
red by 19.9
3011
#35
118.91.4
122.8121.4
Auto18.2
Teleop93.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed