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Red271
3495129.8
479292.6
2659174.5
Blue344
4501112.8
3255183.7
5429142.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823630100200400500600271344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#16
174.50.4
175.0174.5
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
blue by 9.2
183.72.7
178.0180.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
3495
#34
129.81.9
124.9126.8
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
blue by 12.7
5429
#22
142.50.0
142.8142.7
Auto16.5
Teleop107.7
End18.5
Third
4792
#40
92.61.3
94.493.1
Auto13.5
Teleop74.0
End5.6
blue by 20.2
4501
#30
112.82.6
117.5114.9
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed