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Red117
6411169.1
682196.3
7183117.0
Blue365
5012138.9
502596.9
2710148.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723220100200400500600117365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#15
169.10.8
168.7169.5
Auto17.5
Teleop130.1
End21.8
red by 20.2
148.93.1
142.7145.8
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
Second
7183
#42
117.01.8
115.2117.0
Auto15.0
Teleop82.4
End21.8
blue by 21.8
5012
#21
138.90.9
136.2137.1
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3
Third
6821
#43
96.30.6
96.896.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 0.6
5025
#31
96.90.7
97.596.9
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed