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Red219
988128.6
2543137.2
6824126.3
Blue312
3965131.3
1160146.9
5851118.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356290100200400500600219312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.22.4
134.1136.5
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2
blue by 9.7
1160
#18
146.90.2
146.4146.6
Auto19.9
Teleop104.8
End23.6
Second
988
#24
128.61.7
126.9128.6
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End15.1
blue by 2.7
3965
#28
131.31.7
126.8128.5
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Third
6824
#13
126.32.0
123.9125.9
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
red by 7.4
5851
#20
118.80.8
118.1118.8
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed