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Red229
6826102.5
585101.1
3495129.8
Blue388
4486146.6
479292.6
1388140.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543200100200400500600229388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#34
129.81.7
126.8128.5
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
blue by 16.8
4486
#25
146.60.2
146.4146.2
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Second
6826
#39
102.50.4
102.9102.5
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End7.8
blue by 38.0
1388
#10
140.51.7
137.6139.3
Auto15.8
Teleop106.7
End17.4
Third
585
#38
101.10.2
100.9101.1
Auto16.9
Teleop83.6
End3.3
red by 8.5
4792
#40
92.60.5
93.192.6
Auto13.5
Teleop74.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed