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Semifinal 1-22018 Las Vegas Regional
Red340
3495129.8
4738135.0
4149.5
Blue409
399183.2
687166.9
6824126.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2694020100200500600700800340409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#19
149.50.5
149.0→149.5
Auto18.9
Teleop114.6
End16.6
blue by 33.7
399
#17
183.20.1
183.5→183.4
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
Second
4738
#11
135.00.6
134.5→135.0
Auto21.1
Teleop103.1
End15.4
blue by 31.9
687
#7
166.90.5
165.5→166.0
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
Third
3495
#34
129.80.4
129.4→129.8
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
red by 3.5
6824
#13
126.30.1
126.1→126.2
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1