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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Las Vegas Regional
Red292
399183.2
687166.9
6824126.3
Blue278
4486146.6
2543137.2
5059150.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032760100200500600700800292278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#17
183.20.1
183.8→183.7
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
red by 33.0
5059
#14
150.20.1
150.0→150.1
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End21.2
Second
687
#7
166.90.7
163.8→164.5
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
red by 20.3
4486
#25
146.60.2
146.2→146.4
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Third
6824
#13
126.30.1
125.9→126.0
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
blue by 10.9
2543
#8
137.20.3
136.5→136.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2