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Red441
987178.9
842198.6
3965131.3
Blue154
5012138.9
3009146.8
2659174.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405319100200500600700441154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#3
198.60.4
196.9197.3
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
red by 24.1
2659
#16
174.50.0
174.6174.7
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
Second
987
#6
178.90.1
178.5178.6
Auto23.5
Teleop129.2
End26.0
red by 32.1
146.80.3
146.4146.8
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Third
3965
#28
131.30.5
129.5130.0
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
blue by 7.5
5012
#21
138.90.4
138.4138.7
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3