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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Las Vegas Regional
Red364
399183.2
687166.9
6824126.3
Blue351
4486146.6
2543137.2
5059150.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992780100200500600700800364351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#17
183.20.1
183.7→183.6
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
red by 33.0
5059
#14
150.20.1
150.1→150.2
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End21.2
Second
687
#7
166.90.6
164.5→165.0
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
red by 20.3
4486
#25
146.60.2
146.4→146.6
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Third
6824
#13
126.30.1
126.0→126.1
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
blue by 10.9
2543
#8
137.20.3
136.9→137.2
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2