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Semifinal 2-22018 Las Vegas Regional
Red430
987178.9
842198.6
3965131.3
Blue185
5012138.9
3009146.8
2659174.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410305100200500600700430185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#3
198.60.4
197.3→197.8
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
red by 24.1
2659
#16
174.50.2
174.7→174.5
Auto28.5
Teleop124.0
End20.4
Second
987
#6
178.90.1
178.6→178.7
Auto23.5
Teleop129.2
End26.0
red by 32.1
3009
#9
146.80.1
146.8→146.8
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Third
3965
#28
131.30.5
130.0→130.5
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2
blue by 7.5
5012
#21
138.90.1
138.7→138.9
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3