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Red286
2601144.7
1796228.6
2869143.3
Blue392
3419149.4
5599123.0
4571113.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4331980100300400500600286392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
228.60.0
228.6228.6
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
red by 79.1
149.40.0
149.4149.4
Auto20.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
Second
144.70.0
144.7144.7
Auto22.9
Teleop106.4
End19.6
red by 21.7
5599
#12
123.00.0
123.0123.0
Auto14.6
Teleop98.4
End8.5
Third
2869
#14
143.30.0
143.3143.3
Auto21.1
Teleop107.4
End12.9
red by 30.1
113.20.0
113.2113.2
Auto14.9
Teleop80.6
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds40%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds