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Red275
694212.8
2579115.5
1796228.6
Blue295
806117.6
395150.5
4571113.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4511840100300400500600700275295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
228.60.0
228.6228.6
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
red by 78.1
395
#6
150.50.0
150.5150.5
Auto20.7
Teleop117.4
End12.8
Second
694
#1
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 95.2
806
#8
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto19.5
Teleop85.6
End13.4
Third
2579
#16
115.50.0
115.5115.5
Auto18.3
Teleop88.5
End7.4
red by 2.4
113.20.0
113.2113.2
Auto14.9
Teleop80.6
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds49%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds