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Red388
533162.2
527166.5
2872114.7
Blue340
2601141.9
353155.7
2641132.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377332100200500600700800388340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#6
166.50.5
164.7165.1
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
red by 10.8
353
#7
155.70.2
155.2155.4
Auto18.9
Teleop111.9
End28.8
Second
533
#19
162.20.4
160.6161.0
Auto18.6
Teleop122.0
End21.6
red by 20.3
2601
#21
141.90.1
141.7141.8
Auto23.2
Teleop104.6
End12.7
Third
2872
#16
114.70.8
111.9112.7
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
blue by 17.7
2641
#26
132.40.6
131.2131.8
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0