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Red475
870189.7
3171176.7
1468139.8
Blue338
263157.4
287162.7
4458152.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424321100200500600700800900475338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
189.70.6
187.5188.0
Auto25.3
Teleop131.0
End34.2
red by 27.1
287
#5
162.70.4
161.9162.3
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
Second
176.70.5
174.7175.2
Auto20.2
Teleop130.6
End27.1
red by 19.4
263
#8
157.40.2
157.2157.4
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
Third
1468
#27
139.80.2
138.9139.1
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2
blue by 12.7
4458
#22
152.40.0
152.4152.4
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3