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Red440
533162.2
527166.5
2872114.7
Blue335
2601141.9
353155.7
2641132.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377333100200300500600700800440335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#6
166.50.4
165.1165.6
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
red by 10.8
353
#7
155.70.2
155.4155.7
Auto18.9
Teleop111.9
End28.8
Second
533
#19
162.20.4
161.0161.4
Auto18.6
Teleop122.0
End21.6
red by 20.3
2601
#21
141.90.1
141.8141.9
Auto23.2
Teleop104.6
End12.7
Third
2872
#16
114.70.7
112.7113.4
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
blue by 17.7
2641
#26
132.40.5
131.8132.4
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0