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Red299
870189.7
3171176.7
1468139.8
Blue328
5736139.4
2875148.7
369157.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422295100200500600700800299328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
189.70.8
185.5186.3
Auto25.3
Teleop131.0
End34.2
red by 31.9
369
#12
157.80.4
156.7157.1
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
Second
176.70.7
173.0173.7
Auto20.2
Teleop130.6
End27.1
red by 28.0
2875
#10
148.70.3
147.9148.2
Auto18.2
Teleop115.4
End15.2
Third
1468
#27
139.80.3
138.3138.5
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2
red by 0.3
5736
#31
139.40.1
139.0139.2
Auto25.2
Teleop92.6
End21.3