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Red326
263157.4
287162.7
4458152.4
Blue458
6806133.4
271138.4
4050143.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4143000100200500600700800326458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.70.5
160.4160.9
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
red by 18.9
4050
#14
143.80.1
143.2143.4
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
Second
263
#8
157.40.2
156.5156.8
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
red by 19.0
271
#9
138.40.7
136.4137.0
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
Third
4458
#22
152.40.1
152.2152.3
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
red by 19.0
6806
#33
133.40.3
132.4132.7
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8