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Red438
263157.4
287162.7
4458152.4
Blue306
6806133.4
271138.4
4050143.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4083100100200500600700800438306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.70.5
160.9161.4
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
red by 18.9
4050
#14
143.80.2
143.4143.6
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
Second
263
#8
157.40.2
156.8157.0
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
red by 19.0
271
#9
138.40.7
137.0137.7
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
Third
4458
#22
152.40.0
152.3152.3
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
red by 19.0
6806
#33
133.40.4
132.7133.0
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8