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Quarterfinal 4-32018 SBPLI Long Island Regional #2
Red409
263157.4
287162.7
4458152.4
Blue339
6806133.4
271138.4
4050143.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410311100200500600700800409339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.70.5
161.4→161.9
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
red by 18.9
4050
#14
143.80.2
143.6→143.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
Second
263
#8
157.40.2
157.0→157.2
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
red by 19.0
271
#9
138.40.7
137.7→138.4
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
Third
4458
#22
152.40.1
152.3→152.4
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
red by 19.0
6806
#33
133.40.4
133.0→133.4
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8