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Red306
601137.2
623296.9
2641132.4
Blue366
1635130.8
533162.2
6636108.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453500100200300400500600700306366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
601
#11
137.213.3
93.0106.3
Auto16.0
Teleop103.4
End17.1
blue by 24.9
533
#19
162.20.9
157.1158.0
Auto18.6
Teleop122.0
End21.6
Second
2641
#26
132.40.5
118.5118.9
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0
red by 1.6
1635
#20
130.87.6
107.8115.3
Auto18.4
Teleop98.2
End16.3
Third
6232
#35
96.90.6
94.694.1
Auto14.9
Teleop72.8
End7.7
blue by 12.0
6636
#23
108.90.7
103.3102.6
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed