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Red288
1468139.8
4567116.4
329141.8
Blue375
287162.7
263157.4
6746123.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913450100200400500600700800288375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#15
141.80.8
141.7142.4
Auto15.6
Teleop106.4
End17.8
blue by 20.9
287
#5
162.70.6
148.7149.3
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
Second
1468
#27
139.81.5
129.9131.4
Auto21.6
Teleop102.8
End15.2
blue by 17.6
263
#8
157.41.5
144.2145.6
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
Third
4567
#38
116.49.5
101.8111.3
Auto15.6
Teleop89.3
End11.5
blue by 6.9
6746
#13
123.36.6
107.5114.1
Auto19.1
Teleop90.0
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed