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Red137
2641132.4
1635130.8
1751113.5
Blue404
287162.7
2601141.9
5599123.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453560100200300400500600700800137404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#26
132.42.0
120.0122.0
Auto18.1
Teleop86.9
End28.0
blue by 30.3
287
#5
162.70.8
149.3150.1
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
Second
1635
#20
130.85.3
115.3120.6
Auto18.4
Teleop98.2
End16.3
blue by 11.1
2601
#21
141.91.1
139.4138.3
Auto23.2
Teleop104.6
End12.7
Third
1751
#37
113.53.6
103.9107.5
Auto14.5
Teleop82.0
End15.6
blue by 9.5
5599
#24
123.01.2
113.7114.9
Auto14.6
Teleop98.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed