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Red292
160192.7
6806133.4
4050143.8
Blue504
353155.7
6636108.9
527166.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323050100200400500600700800292504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#14
143.81.0
144.8145.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
blue by 22.7
527
#6
166.51.2
150.8152.0
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
Second
6806
#33
133.40.2
129.0129.2
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8
blue by 22.3
353
#7
155.70.4
141.3141.8
Auto18.9
Teleop111.9
End28.8
Third
1601
#40
92.71.4
104.4105.8
Auto12.6
Teleop74.5
End7.6
blue by 16.2
6636
#23
108.90.5
102.1101.6
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed