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Red347
287162.7
4458152.4
6806133.4
Blue378
271138.4
3015178.6
810143.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34733305001,0001,5002,000347378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.71.6
150.1151.6
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
blue by 15.9
178.61.3
158.8160.1
Auto23.1
Teleop128.9
End28.3
Second
4458
#22
152.41.0
145.0146.0
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
red by 9.4
810
#34
143.10.9
132.7133.5
Auto18.3
Teleop100.5
End24.9
Third
6806
#33
133.40.7
129.2128.5
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8
blue by 5.0
271
#9
138.41.7
125.0126.6
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed