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Red198
6422136.2
527166.5
545110.1
Blue418
3171176.7
2601141.9
1635130.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823450100200400500600198418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#6
166.51.7
152.0153.8
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
blue by 10.3
176.70.7
158.4159.1
Auto20.2
Teleop130.6
End27.1
Second
6422
#18
136.20.6
137.5136.9
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
blue by 5.7
2601
#21
141.90.0
138.3138.3
Auto23.2
Teleop104.6
End12.7
Third
545
#36
110.11.1
111.0112.1
Auto18.0
Teleop75.3
End18.6
blue by 20.6
1635
#20
130.81.1
123.0124.1
Auto18.4
Teleop98.2
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed