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Red367
7201119.1
4528117.8
369157.8
Blue275
1751113.5
884109.6
263157.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803130200400600800367275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#12
157.80.3
155.5155.9
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
red by 0.5
263
#8
157.42.2
149.2151.3
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
Second
7201
#29
119.11.0
108.4107.4
Auto16.7
Teleop86.6
End15.8
red by 5.5
1751
#37
113.51.5
109.0110.5
Auto14.5
Teleop82.0
End15.6
Third
4528
#43
117.82.6
108.1110.6
Auto14.7
Teleop91.6
End7.0
red by 8.2
884
#42
109.60.1
120.3120.3
Auto16.8
Teleop84.3
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed