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Red283
4458152.4
334131.9
263157.4
Blue447
527166.5
6806133.4
7201119.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862720100200300500600283447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#8
157.41.6
151.3153.0
Auto19.8
Teleop119.7
End18.6
blue by 9.1
527
#6
166.50.8
154.6155.4
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
Second
4458
#22
152.40.8
147.0147.8
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
red by 19.0
6806
#33
133.40.1
128.2128.3
Auto19.6
Teleop99.7
End14.8
Third
334
#30
131.90.4
130.0130.4
Auto17.6
Teleop104.0
End13.3
red by 12.8
7201
#29
119.10.8
107.4108.1
Auto16.7
Teleop86.6
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed