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Red337
5806123.3
287162.7
2487131.0
Blue165
4050143.8
3950120.8
6422136.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332303100200400500600337165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.71.9
153.1155.0
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
red by 18.9
4050
#14
143.80.4
145.8145.4
Auto17.4
Teleop103.1
End24.5
Second
2487
#17
131.03.8
132.0135.8
Auto16.9
Teleop98.5
End11.0
blue by 5.2
6422
#18
136.20.1
135.9135.8
Auto19.3
Teleop94.5
End22.9
Third
5806
#25
123.31.8
132.8131.0
Auto19.9
Teleop93.0
End9.8
red by 2.5
3950
#32
120.80.4
121.8121.4
Auto15.4
Teleop91.2
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed