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Red264
6636108.9
3950120.8
287162.7
Blue448
3171176.7
4567116.4
4458152.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703550100200400500600700264448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#5
162.71.5
155.0156.6
Auto17.2
Teleop121.3
End26.7
blue by 14.1
176.71.6
161.8163.4
Auto20.2
Teleop130.6
End27.1
Second
3950
#32
120.80.7
121.4120.7
Auto15.4
Teleop91.2
End13.1
blue by 31.6
4458
#22
152.40.4
147.8148.2
Auto18.7
Teleop109.7
End25.3
Third
6636
#23
108.91.4
103.2104.6
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.1
blue by 7.5
4567
#38
116.40.7
116.4117.1
Auto15.6
Teleop89.3
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned