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Red349
527166.5
2875148.7
2872114.7
Blue135
369157.8
533162.2
6746123.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833710100200500600700800349135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#6
166.51.8
155.4157.3
Auto20.3
Teleop123.3
End22.6
red by 4.3
533
#19
162.20.3
160.7161.0
Auto18.6
Teleop122.0
End21.6
Second
2875
#10
148.70.3
144.9144.6
Auto18.2
Teleop115.4
End15.2
blue by 9.1
369
#12
157.80.4
156.8157.2
Auto16.8
Teleop126.8
End15.1
Third
2872
#16
114.70.5
104.5105.0
Auto17.9
Teleop85.4
End12.5
blue by 8.7
6746
#13
123.32.4
121.9124.3
Auto19.1
Teleop90.0
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed