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Red239
871126.7
358147.8
1803122.6
Blue377
5099143.0
3624146.8
569117.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302318100200400500600239377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#4
147.80.4
147.3147.8
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End21.2
red by 0.9
146.80.6
145.1145.7
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
Second
871
#15
126.70.4
126.3126.7
Auto17.0
Teleop103.5
End5.8
blue by 16.3
5099
#13
143.00.4
141.7142.1
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
Third
1803
#28
122.60.4
122.9122.6
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
red by 4.9
569
#31
117.70.5
116.2116.7
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End9.8