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Red458
2638170.5
533156.0
6423127.1
Blue235
5016124.1
296137.4
2914119.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381269100200300500600458235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#12
170.50.3
169.1169.4
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
red by 33.1
296
#7
137.40.3
136.9137.2
Auto18.1
Teleop101.6
End17.8
Second
533
#2
156.00.3
154.3154.7
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
red by 31.8
5016
#25
124.10.2
124.6124.4
Auto15.3
Teleop98.0
End9.9
Third
6423
#18
127.10.3
125.5125.9
Auto17.2
Teleop97.8
End15.4
red by 8.1
2914
#20
119.00.4
118.3118.7
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End14.1