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Red241
2872100.7
28128.9
2869135.5
Blue223
871126.7
6952118.6
5016124.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280273100150200250300350400450500241223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.50.5
111.1111.6
Auto19.0
Teleop99.4
End20.1
red by 8.8
871
#15
126.716.0
74.890.8
Auto17.0
Teleop103.5
End5.8
Second
28
#17
128.916.2
73.189.2
Auto18.9
Teleop90.8
End17.4
red by 4.8
5016
#25
124.10.2
126.7126.5
Auto15.3
Teleop98.0
End9.9
Third
2872
#26
100.716.8
67.484.2
Auto15.9
Teleop76.4
End6.5
blue by 17.9
6952
#34
118.60.3
114.7114.9
Auto14.1
Teleop91.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed