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Red403
1546125.0
358147.8
3137159.0
Blue230
564107.8
2161115.6
6423127.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292274100150200250350400450403230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.015.5
79.394.8
Auto18.9
Teleop116.0
End25.9
red by 32.0
6423
#18
127.115.2
81.496.7
Auto17.2
Teleop97.8
End15.4
Second
358
#4
147.80.0
134.8134.8
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End21.2
red by 32.2
2161
#35
115.617.0
65.782.7
Auto12.3
Teleop87.7
End18.7
Third
1546
#27
125.017.3
63.180.4
Auto14.5
Teleop90.8
End18.7
red by 17.1
564
#30
107.816.6
69.686.1
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed