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Red291
6952118.6
564107.8
358147.8
Blue385
352102.0
533156.0
1468126.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293277150200250350400291385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#4
147.80.8
140.2141.0
Auto18.4
Teleop108.4
End21.2
blue by 8.2
533
#2
156.02.7
139.0141.7
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
Second
6952
#34
118.60.3
114.5114.8
Auto14.1
Teleop91.2
End18.9
blue by 7.8
1468
#11
126.42.0
116.4114.4
Auto19.0
Teleop94.6
End15.5
Third
564
#30
107.82.4
100.2102.6
Auto16.0
Teleop82.9
End10.4
red by 5.8
352
#33
102.02.1
93.991.7
Auto16.3
Teleop72.7
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed