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Red439
3624146.8
3646187.0
2161115.6
Blue192
5099143.0
6636103.8
6423127.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350255100200300400500439192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.01.6
167.6169.2
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
red by 44.0
5099
#13
143.03.2
128.8131.9
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
Second
146.81.4
130.4131.8
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
red by 19.7
6423
#18
127.11.0
124.8125.9
Auto17.2
Teleop97.8
End15.4
Third
2161
#35
115.64.0
107.2111.2
Auto12.3
Teleop87.7
End18.7
red by 11.8
6636
#29
103.81.1
100.8101.9
Auto14.1
Teleop75.9
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed