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Red234
28128.9
5016124.1
533156.0
Blue321
1468126.4
5099143.0
1803122.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339272100150200250300400450234321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#2
156.03.3
145.0148.2
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
red by 13.0
5099
#13
143.02.2
132.9135.1
Auto16.4
Teleop113.1
End16.1
Second
28
#17
128.92.0
123.4125.4
Auto18.9
Teleop90.8
End17.4
red by 2.5
1468
#11
126.40.7
116.0116.7
Auto19.0
Teleop94.6
End15.5
Third
5016
#25
124.10.0
128.0128.0
Auto15.3
Teleop98.0
End9.9
red by 1.6
1803
#28
122.62.7
116.3119.0
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed