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Red180
569117.7
6636103.8
2914119.0
Blue425
3646187.0
522104.9
709136.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1833670100300400500600180425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#20
119.00.5
115.0114.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.1
End14.1
blue by 68.0
187.01.6
171.4173.0
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
569
#31
117.71.9
110.4112.3
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End9.8
blue by 19.1
709
#14
136.80.5
134.4133.9
Auto19.0
Teleop99.9
End16.4
Third
6636
#29
103.80.6
101.5100.9
Auto14.1
Teleop75.9
End12.4
blue by 1.1
522
#32
104.91.1
104.9103.8
Auto13.4
Teleop80.2
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed