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Red348
1546125.0
1468126.4
3624146.8
Blue365
6911119.8
28128.9
3646187.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733750100200500600700348365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.82.4
138.4140.8
Auto21.0
Teleop107.4
End20.6
blue by 40.2
187.02.6
175.2177.8
Auto26.8
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
1468
#11
126.42.3
117.9120.2
Auto19.0
Teleop94.6
End15.5
blue by 2.5
28
#17
128.90.8
125.9126.8
Auto18.9
Teleop90.8
End17.4
Third
1546
#27
125.01.3
125.3124.1
Auto14.5
Teleop90.8
End18.7
red by 5.2
6911
#24
119.80.6
117.5118.2
Auto17.5
Teleop92.0
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed