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Red290
533156.0
6423127.1
2347110.6
Blue258
5016124.1
2638170.5
6806128.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305334100200400500600290258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#2
156.01.2
150.4151.6
Auto17.6
Teleop119.3
End21.3
blue by 14.5
2638
#12
170.51.2
165.4166.6
Auto18.7
Teleop125.7
End28.6
Second
6423
#18
127.10.6
123.2123.7
Auto17.2
Teleop97.8
End15.4
blue by 1.8
6806
#16
128.91.9
125.8127.7
Auto17.8
Teleop97.7
End11.9
Third
2347
#23
110.60.2
110.3110.6
Auto16.4
Teleop86.4
End7.9
blue by 13.5
5016
#25
124.10.7
127.6126.9
Auto15.3
Teleop98.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed