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Red407
333158.8
395150.5
5891126.4
Blue109
6416108.7
123097.7
6195103.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442170100300400500407109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#3
158.80.3
138.6138.9
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
red by 50.1
6416
#41
108.79.0
84.793.8
Auto13.7
Teleop83.9
End14.6
Second
395
#11
150.52.2
133.8136.0
Auto20.7
Teleop117.4
End12.8
red by 46.6
6195
#50
103.912.0
71.083.0
Auto15.3
Teleop76.1
End13.1
Third
5891
#38
126.47.6
95.2102.7
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
red by 28.7
1230
#18
97.712.8
73.586.3
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed