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Qual 112018 New York City Regional
Red337
354151.0
4383103.6
2895118.4
Blue214
464096.1
1880120.0
3760113.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812420100200400500600337214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
151.01.3
130.1→131.4
Auto21.6
Teleop115.7
End14.1
red by 31.0
1880
#4
120.00.2
114.4→114.1
Auto16.2
Teleop84.0
End19.3
Second
2895
#39
118.49.6
78.2→87.8
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
red by 4.5
3760
#25
113.910.0
82.1→92.1
Auto16.5
Teleop88.1
End10.2
Third
4383
#37
103.69.5
72.7→82.2
Auto13.1
Teleop82.5
End11.3
red by 7.4
4640
#36
96.18.6
83.3→91.9
Auto16.7
Teleop75.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed