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Red250
4012104.0
333158.8
726892.8
Blue323
369151.6
395150.5
7272102.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235328100200300400500250323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#3
158.81.1
138.9140.0
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
red by 7.2
369
#12
151.62.0
137.6139.7
Auto18.0
Teleop122.9
End10.4
Second
4012
#21
104.04.2
91.195.3
Auto16.8
Teleop80.4
End9.0
blue by 46.5
395
#11
150.52.6
136.0138.6
Auto20.7
Teleop117.4
End12.8
Third
7268
#48
92.83.3
87.390.6
Auto15.0
Teleop70.7
End9.0
blue by 9.8
7272
#42
102.75.2
90.295.4
Auto13.2
Teleop80.8
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed