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Red234
6353126.0
6195103.9
6988122.0
Blue122
33598.8
464096.1
2265106.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260257140180200220240280234122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.01.8
110.7112.5
Auto20.2
Teleop98.1
End9.4
red by 19.5
2265
#46
106.51.3
114.4113.1
Auto14.8
Teleop82.5
End7.4
Second
6988
#33
122.06.1
89.395.4
Auto15.3
Teleop96.8
End10.9
red by 23.2
335
#40
98.86.5
87.694.1
Auto13.1
Teleop76.6
End12.5
Third
6195
#50
103.96.8
83.089.7
Auto15.3
Teleop76.1
End13.1
red by 7.7
4640
#36
96.15.6
91.997.5
Auto16.7
Teleop75.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed