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Red401
354151.0
6353126.0
4773106.7
Blue146
2895118.4
5800107.6
6416108.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264271150200300350400401146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
151.00.1
130.2130.1
Auto21.6
Teleop115.7
End14.1
red by 32.5
2895
#39
118.417.6
60.778.2
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End14.2
Second
126.00.1
109.0108.9
Auto20.2
Teleop98.1
End9.4
red by 17.4
6416
#41DQ
108.716.7
68.084.7
Auto13.7
Teleop83.9
End14.6
Third
4773
#45
106.718.1
56.174.2
Auto16.4
Teleop83.7
End5.6
blue by 0.9
5800
#27
107.616.4
71.287.6
Auto15.3
Teleop85.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed