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Red142
687394.0
5891126.4
37199.5
Blue312
6648102.7
369151.6
4299113.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275270100150200250300350400450142312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5891
#38
126.415.4
79.895.2
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
blue by 25.2
369
#12
151.61.7
134.0135.7
Auto18.0
Teleop122.9
End10.4
Second
371
#44
99.517.3
63.080.3
Auto14.0
Teleop78.5
End8.6
blue by 14.0
4299
#28
113.518.2
55.573.7
Auto14.1
Teleop86.1
End16.0
Third
6873
#51
94.016.2
94.077.7
Auto13.3
Teleop74.5
End9.5
blue by 8.8
6648
#43
102.717.8
58.676.4
Auto13.7
Teleop77.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed