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Red395
6593115.1
4571113.2
3419149.4
Blue175
1660139.1
640118.5
123097.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278273150200250300350400395175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.42.3
136.4138.7
Auto20.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
red by 10.3
1660
#16
139.10.9
138.1137.3
Auto23.8
Teleop100.2
End15.4
Second
115.11.8
106.5104.7
Auto18.4
Teleop85.9
End11.4
blue by 3.4
640
#23
118.52.4
107.1109.5
Auto14.2
Teleop89.1
End19.5
Third
4571
#32
113.20.6
104.6105.2
Auto14.9
Teleop80.6
End18.9
red by 15.5
1230
#18
97.73.4
98.1101.5
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed